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The fourth turning is here : what the seasons of history tell us about how and when this crisis will end  Cover Image Book Book

The fourth turning is here : what the seasons of history tell us about how and when this crisis will end

Howe, Neil (author.). Strauss, William. Fourth turning. (Added Author).

Summary: Twenty-six years ago, Neil Howe and the late William Strauss dazzled the world with a provocative new theory of American history. Looking back at the last 500 years, they'd uncovered a distinct pattern: modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting roughly eighty to one hundred years, the length of a long human life, with each cycle composed of four eras--or "turnings"--that always arrive in the same order and each last about twenty years. The last of these eras--the fourth turning--was always the most perilous, a period of civic upheaval and national mobilization as traumatic and transformative as the New Deal and World War II, the Civil War, or the American Revolution. Now, right on schedule, our own fourth turning has arrived. And so Neil Howe has returned with an extraordinary new prediction. What we see all around us--the polarization, the growing threat of civil conflict and global war--will culminate by the early 2030s in a climax that poses great danger and yet also holds great promise, perhaps even bringing on America's next golden age. Every generation alive today will play a vital role in determining how this crisis is resolved, for good or ill.

Item details

  • ISBN: 1982173750
  • ISBN: 9781982173753
  • ISBN: 1982173734
  • ISBN: 9781982173739
  • Physical Description: xi, 578 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm
  • Edition: First Simon & Schuster hardcover edition.
  • Publisher: New York, NY : Simon & Schuster, 2023.

Contents / Notes

General Note:
Original work "The Fourth Turning" written by William Strauss and Neil Howe in 1997.
Bibliography, etc. Note: Includes bibliographical references and index.
Formatted Contents Note: Preface -- Winter is here -- Part one: Seasons of history. Seasons of time -- Seasons of life -- Seasons of American history -- Complexity, anomalies, and global history -- Part two: A climax of winter. A winter chronology -- The millennial crisis -- How our society will change -- How our lives will change: Generations of late elders ; Boomer elders ; Gen X in midlife ; Millenial rising adults ; Homelander youth -- Part three: Coming of spring. A new saeculum is born -- Epilogue.
Subject: United States
Twenty-first century
HISTORY / United States / General
Twenty-first century Forecasts
United States Forecasting
United States History 1945-
Genre: History.

Currently available copies

  • 26 out of 37 copies are currently available at PINES. (Show)
  • 1 out of 1 copy are currently available at Athens Regional Library System.


  • 1 current hold on 37 total copies.
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Library System: Library Branch Name
Call Number / Copy Notes Barcode Shelving Location Status  
Athens Regional Library System:
      Athens-Clarke County Library
NONFIC 303.4973 HOWE ( Send Text)
31001006169602 NEW-BKS Available

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