The black swan : the impact of the highly improbable
Item details
- ISBN: 9780812973815
- ISBN: 081297381X
- ISBN: 9780679604181
-
Physical Description:
print
regular print
xxxiii, 444 pages : illustrations ; 21 cm - Edition: 2nd ed., Random trade pbk. ed.
- Publisher: New York : Random House Trade Paperbacks, ©2010.
Contents / Notes
General Note: | "Originally published in hardcover and in slightly different form in the United States ... by Random House in 2007"--Title page verso. |
Bibliography, etc. Note: | Includes bibliographical references (pages [381]-429) and index (pages [437]-444). |
Formatted Contents Note: | Prologue: On the plumage of birds ; A new kind of ingratitude ; Life is very unusual ; Plato and the nerd ; Too dull to write about ; The bottom line -- Umberto Eco's Antilibrary, or How We Seek Validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic -- Yevgenia's black swan -- The speculator and the prostitute -- One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker -- Confirmation shmonfirmation! -- The narrative fallacy -- Living in the antechamber of hope -- Giacomo Casanoba's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence -- The Lucid fallcy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We Just Can't Predict. The scandal of prediction -- How to look for bird poop -- Epistemocracy, a dream -- Appelles the painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those Gray Swans of Extremistan. From mediocristan to extremistan, and back -- The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud -- The aesthetics of randomness -- Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places -- The uncertainty of the phony -- The End. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue: Yevgenia's white swans -- Postscript Essay : On Robustness and Fragility, Deeper Philosophical and Empirical Reflections. Learning from mother nature, the oldest and the wisest -- Why I do all this walking, or how systems become fragile -- Margaritas ante porcos -- Asperger and the ontological black swan -- (Perhaps) the most useful problem in the history of modern philosophy -- The fourth quadrant, the solution to that most useful of problems -- What to do with the fourth quadrant -- The ten principles for a black-swan-robust society -- Amor fati : how to become indestructible. |
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Cherokee Regional Library: LaFayette-Walker County Library |
003.54 TALEB (
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31010006019337 | ADULT | Reshelving | |
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Electronic resources
- Version of Resource: http://catdir.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy1009/2010292618-s.html
- Sample text
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- Contributor biographical information
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